Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 49.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Valladolid in this match.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Alaves |
49.83% | 27.22% | 22.95% |
Both teams to score 43.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.59% | 60.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.45% | 80.54% |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.57% | 24.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.13% | 58.86% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.71% | 42.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.31% | 78.69% |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 14.56% 2-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 8.83% 3-0 @ 4.82% 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.27% Total : 49.83% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 10.33% 2-2 @ 3.8% Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 5.39% 0-2 @ 3.83% 1-3 @ 1.55% 0-3 @ 1.1% 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.1% Total : 22.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |