Considering Osasuna's recent struggles for consistency and the possibility of an initial boost at Alaves under the new manager, we opt for a draw on Sunday.
Los Rojillos will aim to begin correcting their form against the basement side, but El Glorioso are bound to battle bravely with the need for results in their bid to survive.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 17.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match.
