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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 2, 2022 at 8pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
Alaves logo

Atletico
4 - 1
Alaves

Felix (11', 82'), Suarez (75' pen., 90')
Llorente (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Escalante (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Cadiz
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Alaves

Atletico's recent form has been extremely impressive, and we are fully expecting them to put another victory on the board this weekend. Alaves beat the capital giants earlier this season, but we are finding it very difficult to back the visitors to pick up a positive result at Wanda Metropolitano. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 76.07%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 7.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.69%) and 3-0 (11.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawAlaves
76.07%16.05%7.89%
Both teams to score 40.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.4%44.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.03%66.97%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.03%9.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.05%32.95%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.78%55.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.99%88.01%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 76.05%
    Alaves 7.89%
    Draw 16.05%
Atletico MadridDrawAlaves
2-0 @ 14.63%
1-0 @ 12.69%
3-0 @ 11.24%
2-1 @ 8.69%
3-1 @ 6.68%
4-0 @ 6.49%
4-1 @ 3.85%
5-0 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 1.98%
5-1 @ 1.78%
6-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 76.05%
1-1 @ 7.54%
0-0 @ 5.5%
2-2 @ 2.58%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 16.05%
0-1 @ 3.27%
1-2 @ 2.24%
0-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 7.89%

How you voted: Atletico vs Alaves

Atletico Madrid
90.8%
Draw
6.1%
Alaves
3.1%
98
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2021 1pm
Alaves
1-0
Atletico
Laguardia (4')
Sylla (31'), N'Diaye (36')

Savic (17'), Trippier (53'), Kondogbia (55')
Mar 21, 2021 5.30pm
Atletico
1-0
Alaves
Suarez (54')
Carrasco (76'), Savic (85'), Niguez (90+2')

Jota (33'), Battaglia (88')
Jan 3, 2021 3.15pm
Alaves
1-2
Atletico
Felipe (84' og.)
Laguardia (63')
Llorente (41'), Suarez (90')
Carrasco (29'), Suarez (90+3')
Jun 27, 2020 9pm
Oct 29, 2019 6pm
Alaves
1-1
Atletico
Perez (83')
Wakaso (29'), Laguardia (61'), Garcia (89')
Morata (70')
Llorente (16'), Felipe (75'), Hermoso (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid36296183226193
2Barcelona36247574433179
3GironaGirona36236775453075
4Atletico MadridAtletico36234967392873
5Athletic Bilbao361711858372162
6Real Sociedad361512949371257
7Real BetisBetis36141484843556
8Villarreal36149136060051
9Valencia36139143740-348
10Getafe361013134151-1043
11AlavesAlaves36119163445-1142
12Sevilla361011154750-341
13Osasuna36118174054-1441
14Las PalmasLas Palmas36108183246-1438
15Rayo Vallecano36814142944-1538
16Celta Vigo36910174254-1237
17Mallorca36715142941-1236
18CadizCadiz36614162549-2432
RGranada3649233770-3321
RAlmeria36211233572-3717


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