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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
Cadiz logo

Atletico
2 - 1
Cadiz

Felix (3'), De Paul (68')
De Paul (30'), Carrasco (35'), Mandava (41'), Simeone (41'), Savic (90+1')
Serrano (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Negredo (45')
Sobrino (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Cadiz
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Cadiz

Atletico will again be missing a number of important players for this match, but Cadiz have injury problems of their own ahead of kickoff on Friday night. The visitors are certainly capable of making it an uncomfortable match for Simeone's side, but we are expecting the Spanish champions to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 10.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.57%) and 3-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawCadiz
69.81%19.64%10.55%
Both teams to score 39.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.36%51.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.57%73.43%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.32%13.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.11%40.89%
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.14%53.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.81%87.19%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 69.8%
    Cadiz 10.55%
    Draw 19.64%
Atletico MadridDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 14.65%
2-0 @ 14.57%
3-0 @ 9.67%
2-1 @ 9.02%
3-1 @ 5.98%
4-0 @ 4.81%
4-1 @ 2.98%
5-0 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.85%
5-1 @ 1.18%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 69.8%
1-1 @ 9.07%
0-0 @ 7.37%
2-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 19.64%
0-1 @ 4.56%
1-2 @ 2.81%
0-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 10.55%

How you voted: Atletico vs Cadiz

Atletico Madrid
87.9%
Draw
7.1%
Cadiz
5.0%
141
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2021 5.30pm
Cadiz
1-4
Atletico
Oblak (86' og.)
Fernandez (24'), Jonsson (82')
Lemar (56'), Griezmann (70'), Correa (76'), Cunha (86')
Jan 31, 2021 3.15pm
Cadiz
2-4
Atletico
Negredo (35', 71')
Izquierdo (40')
Suarez (28', 50'), Niguez (44'), Koke (88')
Torreira (38'), Felix (41'), Vrsaljko (73'), Koke (76'), Kondogbia (85')
Nov 7, 2020 8pm
Atletico
4-0
Cadiz
Felix (8', 90'), Llorente (22'), Suarez (51')
Kondogbia (85')

Jonsson (57')
Aug 12, 2016 5.30pm
Cadiz
1-1
Atletico
Cadiz win 3-2 on penalties
Sanchez (90' pen.)
Carrasco (13')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Villarreal35139135960-148
9Valencia34138133739-247
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
17Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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