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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Mar 19, 2022 at 1pm UK
Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country
Granada logo

Alaves
2 - 3
Granada

Escalante (53'), Vallejo (57')
N'Diaye (4'), Tenaglia (41'), de la Fuente (89'), Escalante (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Escudero (50'), Puertas (75'), Suarez Charris (87')
Quini (27'), Uzuni (45+3'), Petrovic (61'), Sanchez (90'), Diaz (90+8'), Escudero (90+8')
Escandell (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Cadiz
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 0-0 Espanyol
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 1-1 Granada

For obvious reasons, this is a really difficult match to predict, and it is even tougher to back either side to win with any degree of confidence. Both teams will believe that they can hurt the other in the final third, but we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw, which will not suit either manager at this stage of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Granada had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.63%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
AlavesDrawGranada
37.04%28.93%34.03%
Both teams to score 45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.36%61.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.53%81.47%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.08%31.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.62%68.38%
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.1%33.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.43%70.57%
Score Analysis
    Alaves 37.03%
    Granada 34.03%
    Draw 28.92%
AlavesDrawGranada
1-0 @ 12.35%
2-1 @ 7.63%
2-0 @ 7.05%
3-1 @ 2.91%
3-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 37.03%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 10.82%
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.92%
0-1 @ 11.7%
1-2 @ 7.23%
0-2 @ 6.33%
1-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 34.03%

How you voted: Alaves vs Granada

Alaves
43.6%
Draw
41.0%
Granada
15.4%
39
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2021 8pm
Granada
2-1
Alaves
Puertas (14'), Arias (86')
Abram (40'), Brice Eteki (79')
Abram (81' og.)
Laguardia (45+1'), Lopez (86')
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
Alaves
4-2
Granada
Pons (8'), Duarte (21'), Joselu (66'), Rioja (72')
Guidetti (90+3'), Garcia (90+3')
Molina (31'), Puertas (63')
Perez (20'), Brice Eteki (30'), Duarte (45'), Quini (47')
Sep 20, 2020 5.30pm
Granada
2-1
Alaves
Soldado (7'), Machis (79')
Joselu (22')
Mendez (24'), Battaglia (26'), Lejeune (49')
Jul 1, 2020 6.30pm
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Granada
3-0
Alaves
Fernandez (48'), Soldado (58' pen.), Herrera (78')
Soldado (51')

Navarro (28'), Wakaso (40'), Garcia (63')
Wakaso (67'), Laguardia (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid36296183226193
2Barcelona36247574433179
3GironaGirona36236775453075
4Atletico MadridAtletico36234967392873
5Athletic Bilbao361711858372162
6Real Sociedad361512949371257
7Real BetisBetis36141484843556
8Villarreal36149136060051
9Valencia36139143740-348
10Getafe361013134151-1043
11AlavesAlaves36119163445-1142
12Sevilla361011154750-341
13Osasuna36118174054-1441
14Las PalmasLas Palmas36108183246-1438
15Rayo Vallecano36814142944-1538
16Celta Vigo36910174254-1237
17Mallorca36715142941-1236
18CadizCadiz36614162549-2432
RGranada3649233770-3321
RAlmeria36211233572-3717


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