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La Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 7, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
Real Valladolid logo

Mallorca
1 - 0
Valladolid

Prats (90+4')
Valjent (31'), Copete (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Fresneda (61'), Perez (69'), Kenedy (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pontevedra 0-2 Mallorca
Wednesday, January 4 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Valladolid
Wednesday, January 4 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Mallorca 1-1 Real Valladolid

Valladolid have won three of the last four meetings between these two sides in La Liga, but it is difficult to back the visitors to triumph here considering their away record this term. Mallorca have only won twice at home in the league this season, though, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mallorca in this match.

Result
MallorcaDrawReal Valladolid
36.55% (0.043999999999997 0.04) 27.71% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 35.74% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.69% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.85% (0.057000000000002 0.06)57.15% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.99% (0.044 0.04)78.01% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.03% (0.055000000000007 0.06)29.97% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (0.067 0.07)66.08% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)30.48% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)66.69% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Mallorca 36.55%
    Real Valladolid 35.73%
    Draw 27.7%
MallorcaDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 36.55%
1-1 @ 13.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.13% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 10.85% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 35.73%

How you voted: Mallorca vs Valladolid

Mallorca
51.0%
Draw
41.2%
Real Valladolid
7.8%
51
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2020 5.30pm
Mallorca
0-1
Valladolid

Budimir (17'), Rodriguez (25'), Reina (29'), Hernandez (67')
Unal (56')
Toni (66')
Nov 3, 2019 11am
Valladolid
3-0
Mallorca
Borja (40'), Unal (50' pen.), Ramirez (94')
Michel (45'), Borja (63'), Ramirez (66'), Unal (77'), Alcaraz (85')

Sevilla (55'), Valijent (77'), Sastre (88'), Febas (92')
Dec 5, 2018 8.30pm
Round of 32
Valladolid
2-1
Mallorca
Plano (49'), Verde (88')
Prats (48')
Campos (84')
Oct 31, 2018 7.30pm
Round of 32
Mallorca
1-2
Valladolid
Buenacasa (67')
Ndockyt (30'), Sastre (60')
Verde (8', 35')
Moi (6'), Luismi (44')
Jun 1, 2013 8pm
Mallorca
4-2
Valladolid
Dos Santos (58'), Moreno Marquez (68'), Luis Marti (43'), Alfaro (17')
Tunon Geromel (50'), Moreno Marquez (80')
Ramos (72'), Bueno (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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