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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Celta Vigo logo

Valladolid
4 - 1
Celta Vigo

Mesa (32'), Fernandez (62'), Leon (74', 79')
Masip (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Oscar (43')
Oscar (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Espanyol 1-0 Valladolid
Sunday, October 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Sociedad
Sunday, October 16 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Real Valladolid 1-1 Celta Vigo

Real Valladolid need a reaction here after a disappointing defeat last time out, and should be able to use their home advantage to force a few good opportunities to go on and win the game. Celta Vigo, however, are a competitive side, and need points of their own. They should have enough to nick at least a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 22.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawCelta Vigo
52.6% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.23% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 22.17% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.06% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.88% (0.042999999999999 0.04)54.12% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.46% (0.036999999999999 0.04)75.54% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42% (0.019000000000005 0.02)20.58% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)53.11% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.52% (0.032000000000004 0.03)39.48% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.83% (0.029 0.03)76.17% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 52.59%
    Celta Vigo 22.17%
    Draw 25.23%
Real ValladolidDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.35%
3-1 @ 4.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 52.59%
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 22.17%

How you voted: Valladolid vs Celta Vigo

Real Valladolid
32.5%
Draw
33.7%
Celta Vigo
33.7%
83
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2021 1pm
Celta Vigo
1-1
Real Valladolid
Murillo (90+4')
Tapia (34'), Aidoo (90+3'), Ferreyra (90+5')
Orellana (70')
Weissman (4'), Guardiola (40'), Olaza (58'), Fernandez (90'), El Yamiq (90+1')
Sep 27, 2020 5.30pm
Real Valladolid
1-1
Celta Vigo
Guardiola (66' pen.)
Guardiola (61'), Bruno (80'), Sanchez (86')
Aspas (44')
Mor (25'), Beltran (41'), Mallo (65'), Aspas (90+2')
Nov 29, 2019 8pm
Jan 27, 2019 11am
Real Valladolid
2-1
Celta Vigo
Plano (55'), Keko (69')
Toni (60'), Michel (90')
Sisto (16')
Mallo (40'), Hoedt (41'), Boufal (52'), Junca (89')
Hoedt (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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