Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 15.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Mallorca |
60.42% | 23.96% | 15.63% |
Both teams to score 41.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.48% | 57.52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.69% | 78.31% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.15% | 18.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.7% | 50.31% |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.86% | 49.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.95% | 84.06% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 15.45% 2-0 @ 12.89% 2-1 @ 9.16% 3-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 5.1% 4-0 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.81% 5-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.7% Total : 60.4% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 9.26% 2-2 @ 3.25% Other @ 0.46% Total : 23.96% | 0-1 @ 6.58% 1-2 @ 3.9% 0-2 @ 2.34% 1-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.88% Total : 15.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |