MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 20:37:32| >> :600:103997:103997:
Juventus logo
Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Freiburg logo

Juventus
1 - 0
Freiburg

di Maria (53')
Bremer (72'), Bonucci (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ginter (24'), Holer (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Juventus and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Juventus
Sunday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 2-1 Freiburg

Juventus have not won a European trophy since 1996, and with a point to prove given recent events at the club, they should be clear-minded about their task. While Freiburg are far from pushovers, the Bianconeri possess far more individual quality and experience at this level, so can take a lead with them to Germany next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventus.

Result
JuventusDrawFreiburg
56.89% (0.656 0.66) 22.38% (-0.453 -0.45) 20.73% (-0.205 -0.2)
Both teams to score 54.88% (1.175 1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.92% (1.712 1.71)44.08% (-1.713 -1.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.54% (1.648 1.65)66.46% (-1.648 -1.65)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.72% (0.816 0.82)15.27% (-0.818 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.02% (1.514 1.51)43.97% (-1.515 -1.52)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.78% (0.768 0.77)35.22% (-0.76900000000001 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.02% (0.794 0.79)71.98% (-0.795 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 56.89%
    Freiburg 20.73%
    Draw 22.37%
JuventusDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 10.1% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.5% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.193 0.19)
3-0 @ 5.95% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.166 0.17)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.169 0.17)
4-0 @ 2.79% (0.106 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.118 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.093 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 56.89%
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-0 @ 5.38% (-0.412 -0.41)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.124 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.37%
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.305 -0.31)
1-2 @ 5.5% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.095 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.08 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 20.73%

How you voted: Juventus vs Freiburg

Juventus
85.9%
Draw
7.7%
Freiburg
6.4%
220
rhs 2.0
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1Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
2Arsenal36265588286083
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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