MX23RW : Saturday, April 27 10:49:12| >> :600:657814:657814:
Ferencvaros
Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Groupama Arena
Fiorentina logo

Ferencvaros
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Zachariassen (48')
Cisse (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ranieri (73')
Mandragora (10'), Milenkovic (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Ferencvaros and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Ferencvaros 1-2 Fiorentina

Thursday's game promises to be an intriguing one in the fight for guaranteed qualification for the Europa Conference League round of 16, and while they only managed to snatch a draw late on at home in the reverse fixture, Fiorentina boast more quality than their hosts and should have enough to get over the line and stay ahead of their hosts in Hungary. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
FerencvarosDrawFiorentina
44.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.3% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 31.25% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.24% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)43.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.85% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)66.14% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.84% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.07% (0.012 0.01)51.93% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.26% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)26.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.99%62% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Ferencvaros 44.45%
    Fiorentina 31.25%
    Draw 24.29%
FerencvarosDrawFiorentina
2-1 @ 9.15%
1-0 @ 8.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 44.45%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.04%
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 31.25%

How you voted: Ferencvaros vs Fiorentina

Ferencvaros
20.9%
Draw
30.2%
Fiorentina
48.8%
43
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Fiorentina
2-2
Ferencvaros
Barak (66'), Ikone (90+3')
Gonzalez (86'), Italiano (90+5')
Varga (25'), I (50')
Siger (23'), Mmaee (55'), Varga (57'), Ali Ben Romdhane (66'), Dibusz (70')
rhs 2.0
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