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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 17.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 0-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 2-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
17.77% ( 0.02) | 20.56% ( 0.01) | 61.67% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 55.81% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.66% ( 0) | 40.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.29% ( 0) | 62.71% ( -0) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.85% ( 0.02) | 36.15% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.07% ( 0.02) | 72.93% ( -0.02) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.41% ( -0) | 12.59% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.32% ( -0.01) | 38.68% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 4.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.63% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.36% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 17.77% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.55% 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.56% | 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-2 @ 9.77% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.87% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.75% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.56% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.81% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.48% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 3.61% Total : 61.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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