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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 83.42%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 5.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.56%) and 4-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.23%), while for a Cambuur win it was 0-1 (1.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Cambuur |
83.42% ( 0.1) | 11.1% ( -0.02) | 5.47% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 45.86% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.11% ( -0.34) | 29.89% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.94% ( -0.41) | 51.06% ( 0.41) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.82% ( -0.05) | 5.18% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.49% ( -0.14) | 20.51% ( 0.13) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.37% ( -0.56) | 51.63% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.24% ( -0.38) | 85.76% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Cambuur |
2-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 2.5% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) 7-0 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 3.48% Total : 83.41% | 1-1 @ 5.23% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.63% Total : 11.1% | 0-1 @ 1.77% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 5.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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