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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.64%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 22.4% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 0-1 (7.45%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
22.4% ( -0.15) | 20.96% ( 0.01) | 56.64% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 62.4% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.69% ( -0.24) | 35.31% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.66% ( -0.26) | 57.33% ( 0.26) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.27% ( -0.26) | 28.73% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.43% ( -0.33) | 64.56% ( 0.32) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.56% ( -0.04) | 12.44% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.64% ( -0.08) | 38.36% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 22.4% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.96% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 6.73% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.39% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.51% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.46% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 56.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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