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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
26.72% ( 0.45) | 23.32% ( 0.22) | 49.96% ( -0.67) |
Both teams to score 58.97% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.96% ( -0.62) | 42.04% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.55% ( -0.63) | 64.45% ( 0.63) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.02% ( 0.01) | 28.98% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.12% ( 0.01) | 64.88% ( -0.01) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.03% ( -0.47) | 16.97% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.93% ( -0.85) | 47.06% ( 0.85) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.4% Total : 26.72% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.07% Total : 49.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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