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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
40.59% ( 0.43) | 25.31% ( 0.29) | 34.1% ( -0.72) |
Both teams to score 56.27% ( -1.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.59% ( -1.44) | 47.41% ( 1.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.38% ( -1.35) | 69.62% ( 1.35) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.81% ( -0.42) | 23.19% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.92% ( -0.61) | 57.07% ( 0.61) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.26% ( -1.11) | 26.74% ( 1.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.99% ( -1.49) | 62.01% ( 1.49) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.12% Total : 40.59% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.14% Total : 34.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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