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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 62.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | FC Volendam |
62.67% ( -1.01) | 20.27% ( 0.94) | 17.06% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 55.34% ( -3.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.75% ( -4.34) | 40.24% ( 4.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.38% ( -4.62) | 62.61% ( 4.62) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.72% ( -1.56) | 12.27% ( 1.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.97% ( -3.36) | 38.02% ( 3.36) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.08% ( -2.58) | 36.91% ( 2.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.29% ( -2.66) | 73.7% ( 2.66) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.79) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 1.28) 3-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.36) 4-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.43) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.44) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.36) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.29) Other @ 3.71% Total : 62.67% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.68) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.85) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.27% | 1-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.58) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.36% Total : 17.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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