MX23RW : Monday, May 13 00:28:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Sep 28, 2023 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Heracles Almelo

AZ
1 - 1
Heracles

Pavlidis (13')
Sadiq (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ouahim (53')
De Keersmaecker (56'), Bakboord (82'), Vejinovic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 0-3 AZ
Sunday, September 24 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 2-2 Heracles
Saturday, September 23 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Heracles

With two wins already under their belt this season, Heracles can afford to play with a certain level of freedom at one of the title contenders. Nevertheless, we expect AZ to cruise to a routine win, further showcasing their credentials to push Feyenoord all the way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 65.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 15.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeracles
65.31% (-0.706 -0.71) 18.9% (0.225 0.23) 15.78% (0.475 0.48)
Both teams to score 57.36% (0.354 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.75% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)36.24% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.63% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)58.36% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.59% (-0.206 -0.21)10.41% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.05% (-0.455 -0.45)33.95% (0.449 0.45)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.02% (0.537 0.54)35.98% (-0.54300000000001 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.24% (0.545 0.54)72.76% (-0.54900000000001 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 65.31%
    Heracles 15.78%
    Draw 18.9%
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.58% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-0 @ 8.47% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.39% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.23% (-0.154 -0.15)
4-1 @ 4.18% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.09% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.14%
5-1 @ 1.89% (-0.045 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.85% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 65.31%
1-1 @ 8.66% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.084 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.74% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.9%
1-2 @ 4.43% (0.11 0.11)
0-1 @ 3.83% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.96% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 15.78%

How you voted: AZ vs Heracles

AZ Alkmaar
94.9%
Draw
5.1%
Heracles
0.0%
39
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 20
AZ
2-1
Heracles
Reijnders (25'), Pavlidis (48')
Sep 19, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 5
Heracles
3-2
AZ
Sierhuis (45+1'), Burgzorg (72'), Vloet (90+3')
Vloet (49'), Quagliata (50'), Burgzorg (50')
Gudmundsson (19'), Reijnders (89')
Midtsjo (90+2')
Clasie (45')
May 16, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
AZ
5-0
Heracles
Boadu (41', 74'), Karlsson (50', 57'), Wijndal (87')
Leeuwin (80'), Bizot (90')

Fadiga (58'), Knoester (76')
Nov 29, 2020 3.45pm
Gameweek 10
Heracles
1-2
AZ
Schoofs (75')
Bakis (69'), Quagliata (86')
Koopmeiners (41' pen.), Boadu (44')
De Wit (66')
Apr 11, 2020 6.45pm
Gameweek 30
Heracles
P-P
AZ
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


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