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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
39.29% ( -4.05) | 23.79% ( 0.58) | 36.92% ( 3.48) |
Both teams to score 62.24% ( -1.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.14% ( -2.12) | 39.86% ( 2.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.78% ( -2.23) | 62.21% ( 2.23) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.47% ( -2.66) | 20.53% ( 2.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.97% ( -4.4) | 53.03% ( 4.4) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.31% ( 0.86) | 21.68% ( -0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.17% ( 1.3) | 54.83% ( -1.3) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.37) 1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.61) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.36) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.48) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.42) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.28) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.31) Other @ 2.93% Total : 39.29% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.42) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.54) 0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.8) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.73) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.37) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.43) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |