Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for NEC had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
35.12% ( 0.6) | 25.07% ( 0.16) | 39.8% ( -0.77) |
Both teams to score 57.31% ( -0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.84% ( -0.66) | 46.16% ( 0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.54% ( -0.63) | 68.45% ( 0.62) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.45% ( 0.03) | 25.55% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.59% ( 0.05) | 60.41% ( -0.06) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.97% ( -0.67) | 23.03% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.16% ( -0.99) | 56.84% ( 0.98) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.12% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.18% Total : 39.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |