MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 23:08:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Erve Asito
Excelsior

Heracles
3 - 1
Excelsior

Limbombe (54'), Hoogma (60'), Sankoh (85')
Willems (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Agrafiotis (19')
Lamprou (39'), Zagre (49'), Smeulers (76')
Lamprou (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 2-1 Nijmegen
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 2-2 Sittard
Saturday, August 26 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heracles 1-2 SBV Excelsior

Excelsior will be buoyed by their unbeaten start to the new season, and we think that they will continue their impressive run against a Heracles side that they have beaten in three consecutive head-to-head meetings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 18.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawSBV Excelsior
59.46% (0.89100000000001 0.89) 21.55% (-0.368 -0.37) 18.98% (-0.527 -0.53)
Both teams to score 54.72% (0.306 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.11% (0.855 0.86)42.89% (-0.855 -0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7% (0.841 0.84)65.29% (-0.843 -0.84)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.94% (0.563 0.56)14.06% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.36% (1.09 1.09)41.63% (-1.093 -1.09)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.66% (-0.061 -0.06)36.33% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.88% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)73.12% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 59.46%
    SBV Excelsior 18.98%
    Draw 21.55%
HeraclesDrawSBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 10.02% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.83% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.51% (0.138 0.14)
3-0 @ 6.43% (0.147 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.19% (0.13 0.13)
4-0 @ 3.15% (0.133 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.064 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.075 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.24% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 59.46%
1-1 @ 10.14% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.55%
0-1 @ 5.17% (-0.207 -0.21)
1-2 @ 5.14% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 18.98%

How you voted: Heracles vs Excelsior

Heracles
25.0%
Draw
12.5%
SBV Excelsior
62.5%
8
Head to Head
May 21, 2022 7pm
Second Round 2nd Leg
Heracles
1-3
Excelsior
Bakis (28')
Hoogma (56')
Dallinga (47'), Wieffer (63'), Agrafiotis (83')
Horemans (43')
May 18, 2022 5.45pm
Second Round 1st Leg
Excelsior
3-0
Heracles
Azarkan (21'), Dallinga (74'), Driouech (85')

Schoofs (29')
May 12, 2019 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
Heracles
4-5
Excelsior
Dalmau (23', 51', 59'), Duarte (62')
Rossmann (43')
Omarsson (4', 45', 91'), Mattheij (71'), Eckert (89')
Dec 22, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Excelsior
0-3
Heracles

Mattheij (85')
Peterson (35'), Kuwas (43'), Osman (66')
Peterson (61')
Apr 18, 2018 6.45pm
Excelsior
2-2
Heracles
Messaoud (7'), Van Duinen (51' pen.)
Messaoud (58'), de Wijs (93')
Monteiro (92', 94')
Droste (7')
van Ooijen (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!