MX23RW : Thursday, May 2 17:19:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 2
Aug 19, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Ajax

Excelsior
2 - 2
Ajax

Horemans (45+1'), Agrafiotis (48')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brobbey (25'), Klaassen (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-4 Excelsior
Sunday, August 13 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Monday, August 14 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: SBV Excelsior 0-2 Ajax

 Excelsior will enter Saturday's clash in buoyant mood after their dramatic win last weekend, but Ajax's record in this fixture in recent years is difficult to ignore. Despite the departure of a few key players from last season, we believe that Steijn's side still have enough quality to claim maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 58.82%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 20.95% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.8%) and 0-1 (7.16%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAjax
20.95% (0.061 0.06) 20.22% (0.083000000000002 0.08) 58.82% (-0.143 -0.14)
Both teams to score 62.94% (-0.232 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.33% (-0.339 -0.34)33.67% (0.34 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.51% (-0.389 -0.39)55.49% (0.389 0.39)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.96% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)29.03% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.06% (-0.181 -0.18)64.94% (0.182 0.18)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.68% (-0.143 -0.14)11.31% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.03% (-0.31399999999999 -0.31)35.97% (0.315 0.32)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 20.95%
    Ajax 58.82%
    Draw 20.22%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAjax
2-1 @ 5.47% (0.021 0.02)
1-0 @ 4.06% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.51% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.26%
3-0 @ 1.04% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 20.95%
1-1 @ 8.85% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.29% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.22%
1-2 @ 9.65% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.8% (0.048 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.16% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 7.01% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 4.33% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 3.82% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.09% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.36% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.66% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.35% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-4 @ 0.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 58.82%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Ajax

SBV Excelsior
6.7%
Draw
13.3%
Ajax
80.0%
30
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 19
Excelsior
1-4
Ajax
El Yaakoubi (36')
Tadic (15' pen.), Klaassen (45'), Kudus (61'), Rensch (83')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 10
Ajax
7-1
Excelsior
Sanchez (15'), Berghuis (26'), Brobbey (44', 59'), Tadic (65'), Bergwijn (75'), Kudus (81')
Agrafiotis (90')
> Preview
Apr 13, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Ajax
6-2
Excelsior
Huntelaar (10', 40', 65'), Tadic (37', 60' pen.), Dolberg (75')
Mazraoui (4'), Ekkelenkamp (84')
El Hamdaoui (42'), Fortes (89')
Fortes (32'), Koolwijk (43'), El Hamdaoui (49')
Nov 11, 2018 1.30pm
Gameweek 12
Excelsior
1-7
Ajax
Messaoud (52')
Fortes (25'), Haspolat (25'), Matthys (43')
Van de Beek (31', 48'), Schone (44'), Dolberg (58'), Schouten (71' og.), Ziyech (79'), Neres (87')
May 6, 2018 1.30pm
Excelsior
1-2
Ajax
De Ligt (20' og.)
Kluivert (48'), Dolberg (53' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452
> Eredivisie Full Table


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