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Stevenage
EFL Trophy | Second Round
Nov 22, 2022 at 7pm UK
The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
3 - 2
Arsenal U21s

Amoo (51'), Sweeney (69'), Read (75')
Reeves (24'), Norris (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Butler-Oyedeji (6'), Cozier-Duberry (74')
Foram (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Stevenage and Arsenal Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Arsenal U21s 3-1 Everton U21s
Sunday, November 6 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Stevenage 1-0 Arsenal Under-21s

In an intriguing cup clash, we expect a close contest between two sides that will likely result in the tie being settled by fine margins. Stevenage will be the ones to capitalise on this occasion and narrowly progress to the third round of the EFL Trophy. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawArsenal Under-21s
45.19% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 25.64% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 29.17% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.1% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.4% (0.024000000000001 0.02)50.6% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.49% (0.02 0.02)72.52% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.64% (0.019000000000005 0.02)22.36% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.15% (0.028999999999996 0.03)55.85% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)31.61% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 45.18%
    Arsenal Under-21s 29.17%
    Draw 25.64%
StevenageDrawArsenal Under-21s
1-0 @ 10.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-0 @ 7.93% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 3.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 45.18%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29.17%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Arsenal U21s

Stevenage
61.9%
Draw
9.5%
Arsenal Under-21s
28.6%
21
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
2Arsenal36265588286083
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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