Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 11am UK
Campo Municipal del Santa Eulalia del Rio
Pena Deportiva1 - 5Valladolid
Tovar (84')
Navarro (75')
Navarro (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Meseguer (17', 69', 71'), de la Hoz (50'), Quintana (78')
Quintana (24'), Cedric (26'), Garriel (59')
Quintana (24'), Cedric (26'), Garriel (59')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Pena Deportiva and Real Valladolid.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Eibar 5-1 Valladolid
Friday, October 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Friday, October 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 69.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Pena Deportiva had a probability of 11.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.15%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Pena Deportiva win it was 1-0 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pena Deportiva | Draw | Real Valladolid |
11.52% ( -0.06) | 18.72% ( -0.06) | 69.76% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 45.75% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
