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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 3
Mar 29, 2024 at 11.35am UK
Shenzhen Bao'an Stadium
Cangzhou Mighty Lions

Sichuan
2 - 2
Cangzhou

Garcia (25'), Wei (45+7')
Wang (11'), Dugalic (41'), Rui (60'), Garcia (90+7'), Wang (90+8')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Heber (12' pen.), Maritu (90+10')
Wen (41'), Zhao (42'), Yao (90+8')
Wang (90+4')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Sichuan Jiuniu and Cangzhou Mighty Lions.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Sichuan 0-4 Tianjin Jinmen
Sunday, March 10 at 12pm in Chinese Super League
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Last Game: Cangzhou 1-0 Chengdu
Sunday, March 10 at 7.30am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 69.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 12.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Sichuan JiuniuDrawCangzhou Mighty Lions
69.21% (-0.95699999999999 -0.96) 18.29% (0.502 0.5) 12.5% (0.459 0.46)
Both teams to score 50.38% (-0.316 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.1% (-1.161 -1.16)40.9% (1.163 1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.71% (-1.195 -1.2)63.29% (1.2 1.2)
Sichuan Jiuniu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.28% (-0.554 -0.55)10.72% (0.558 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.34% (-1.256 -1.26)34.66% (1.26 1.26)
Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.43% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)43.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.23% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)79.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sichuan Jiuniu 69.21%
    Cangzhou Mighty Lions 12.5%
    Draw 18.29%
Sichuan JiuniuDrawCangzhou Mighty Lions
2-0 @ 11.64% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.31 0.31)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 8.67% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-1 @ 7.2% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-0 @ 4.84% (-0.203 -0.2)
4-1 @ 4.02% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.16% (-0.144 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.8% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 69.21%
1-1 @ 8.67% (0.254 0.25)
0-0 @ 4.67% (0.244 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.02% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 18.29%
0-1 @ 3.88% (0.202 0.2)
1-2 @ 3.6% (0.105 0.11)
0-2 @ 1.61% (0.084 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 12.5%

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