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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2023 at 12pm UK
The Hawthorns
Stoke logo

West Brom
1 - 1
Stoke

Thomas-Asante (35')
Yokuslu (44'), Bartley (45+2'), Fellows (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gooch (12')
Burger (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 West Brom
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Swansea
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-0 Stoke City

While there is less pressure on Stoke's interim management team, the players themselves know that they are fighting for their future. Nevertheless, we still expect the Baggies to come through with a hard-earned win, one which will solidify Stoke as relegation candidates. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawStoke City
45.2% (0.225 0.23) 25.7% (0.405 0.41) 29.1% (-0.63 -0.63)
Both teams to score 52.87% (-1.659 -1.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.13% (-1.994 -1.99)50.87% (1.994 1.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.24% (-1.781 -1.78)72.75% (1.78 1.78)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.738 -0.74)22.46% (0.737 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.99% (-1.113 -1.11)56% (1.112 1.11)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.19% (-1.476 -1.48)31.8% (1.477 1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.76% (-1.726 -1.73)68.24% (1.727 1.73)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 45.19%
    Stoke City 29.1%
    Draw 25.7%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.66% (0.61 0.61)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.97% (0.287 0.29)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.179 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 45.19%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 7.14% (0.556 0.56)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.323 0.32)
1-2 @ 7% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.178 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 29.1%

How you voted: West Brom vs Stoke

West Bromwich Albion
82.1%
Draw
7.1%
Stoke City
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Stoke
2-1
West Brom
Griffiths (27' og.), Vidigal (65')
McNally (5'), Sidibe (45'), Travers (76')
Thomas-Asante (64')
Pieters (31'), Bartley (66'), Gardner-Hickman (68'), Griffiths (86')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Stoke
1-2
West Brom
Brown (30')
Molumby (59', 69')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
West Brom
1-3
Stoke
Robinson (73')
Livermore (16' og.), Brown (59'), Baker (90+4')
Oct 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Stoke
1-0
West Brom
Powell (79')
Davies (75'), Surridge (90+5')

Livermore (51'), Johnstone (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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