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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Stoke logo

Plymouth
2 - 1
Stoke

Bundu (43'), Randell (90+7')
Houghton (7'), Schumacher (8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Campbell (23')
Vidigal (57'), Pearson (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-0 Plymouth
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 4-2 Stoke
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Stoke City

Plymouth are continuing to lean on their home form significantly to keep them out of trouble in the Championship, and we are expecting another strong performance from the Pilgrims at Home Park this weekend. Stoke were hit with questionable refereeing decisions and a load of suspensions to key players at QPR last time out, meaning we cannot envisage the Potters earning coming out on top in Devon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawStoke City
34.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.5%42.22% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 62.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.11%38.89% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.79%61.21% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.37% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)22.63% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)56.25%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.19%18.81% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)50.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 34.28%
    Stoke City 42.22%
    Draw 23.5%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 4.7%
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 34.28%
1-1 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 6.56%
0-0 @ 4.26%
3-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 8.83%
0-1 @ 7.11%
0-2 @ 5.94%
1-3 @ 4.92%
2-3 @ 3.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.05%
2-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 42.22%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Stoke

Plymouth Argyle
67.9%
Draw
10.7%
Stoke City
21.4%
28
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2007 3pm
Plymouth
2-2
Stoke
Timar (67'), Ebanks-Blake (44')
Norris (73')
Shawcross (57'), Cresswell (8')
Fuller (86')
Hoult (82')
Sep 22, 2007 3pm
Stoke
3-2
Plymouth
Lawrence (66'), Fuller (73'), Seip (10' og.)
Seip (52'), Fallon (59')
Timar (37'), Nalis (76'), Buzsaky (79')
Mar 3, 2007 3pm
Aug 26, 2006 3pm
Stoke
1-1
Plymouth
Sidibe (39')
Hayles (78')
Norris (45'), Doumbé (85')
Feb 14, 2006 3pm
Stoke
0-0
Plymouth
Chadwick (83')
Doumbé (15'), Barness (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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