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Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Southampton logo

Watford
1 - 1
Southampton

Healey (90+6')
Porteous (59'), Kone (61'), Hoedt (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adams (56')
Charles (34'), Armstrong (45'), Armstrong (87'), Fraser (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Watford
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-2 Southampton

With both teams very much in form, this is a tough match to predict. Watford are growing in confidence, particularly at home, but Southampton have scored a lot of late decisive goals this season and we feel that a similar outcome may materialise here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawSouthampton
45.6% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 23.41% (0.193 0.19) 30.98% (-0.24 -0.24)
Both teams to score 61.75% (-0.83900000000001 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.28% (-1.046 -1.05)39.72% (1.044 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.92% (-1.095 -1.1)62.07% (1.094 1.09)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25% (-0.393 -0.39)17.75% (0.392 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.57% (-0.683 -0.68)48.43% (0.681 0.68)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (-0.65899999999999 -0.66)24.92% (0.658 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.45% (-0.921 -0.92)59.55% (0.919 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Watford 45.6%
    Southampton 30.98%
    Draw 23.41%
WatfordDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.039 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.65% (0.272 0.27)
2-0 @ 6.61% (0.153 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 45.6%
1-1 @ 10.62% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.42% (0.211 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.15% (0.182 0.18)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.98%

How you voted: Watford vs Southampton

Watford
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Southampton
50.0%
24
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Southampton
1-2
Watford
Elyounoussi (45')
Perraud (48'), Romeu (65'), Bednarek (76')
Camilo Hernandez (14', 34')
Camilo Hernandez (60'), Sissoko (86')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Watford
0-1
Southampton

Pedro (45+2'), Kucka (76')
Adams (20')
Salisu (55'), Ward-Prowse (58')
Jun 28, 2020 4.30pm
Nov 30, 2019 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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