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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium
Watford logo

Leicester
2 - 0
Watford

Vardy (76', 90+5' pen.)
Ndidi (62'), Vardy (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Louza (30'), Ismael (31'), Porteous (54'), Chakvetadze (72'), Kayembe (75'), Bachmann (83'), Asprilla (90')
Bachmann (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Leicester
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 5-0 Rotherham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 2-1 Watford

With a bit of doubt creeping in at Leicester, Ismael and Watford will sense an opportunity. However, we feel that the home side can only have benefitted from the November international break, leading us to predict a hard-fought triumph for the Foxes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 24.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawWatford
50.26% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 25.17% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 24.57% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.88% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26% (-0.101 -0.1)51.74% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-0.087 -0.09)73.51% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.4% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)20.6% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)53.14% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)35.91% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.31% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)72.69% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 50.25%
    Watford 24.57%
    Draw 25.16%
Leicester CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 11.68% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 50.25%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.58% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.57%

How you voted: Leicester vs Watford

Leicester City
90.3%
Draw
6.5%
Watford
3.2%
31
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 37
Watford
1-5
Leicester
Pedro (6')
Maddison (18'), Vardy (22', 70'), Barnes (46', 86')
Tielemans (55')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Third Round
Leicester
4-1
Watford
Tielemans (7' pen.), Maddison (25'), Barnes (54'), Albrighton (85')
Daley-Campbell (36')
Pedro (27')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 13
Leicester
4-2
Watford
Maddison (16'), Vardy (34', 42'), Lookman (68')
King (30' pen.), Dennis (61')
Jun 20, 2020 12.30pm
Dec 4, 2019 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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