Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Watford |
46.33% ( 0.1) | 25.68% ( -0.27) | 27.99% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 52.21% ( 0.96) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.59% ( 1.2) | 51.41% ( -1.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.78% ( 1.03) | 73.23% ( -1.03) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.83% ( 0.55) | 22.18% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.43% ( 0.82) | 55.58% ( -0.82) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.08% ( 0.77) | 32.92% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.5% ( 0.85) | 69.5% ( -0.85) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.24% Total : 46.32% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 27.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 45 | 31 | 4 | 10 | 89 | 39 | 50 | 97 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 56 | 32 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
> Championship Full Table |