Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
19 | Watford | 38 | -43 | 23 |
20 | Norwich City | 38 | -61 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Watford had a probability of 18.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Watford |
58.35% | 23.61% | 18.04% |
Both teams to score 46.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.19% | 52.81% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.57% | 74.43% |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.14% | 17.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.38% | 48.62% |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.78% | 43.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.52% | 79.47% |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 13.29% 2-0 @ 11.45% 2-1 @ 9.61% 3-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 5.52% 4-0 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.4% Total : 58.35% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 7.72% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.71% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 6.47% 1-2 @ 4.68% 0-2 @ 2.72% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.73% Total : 18.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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