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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Ipswich Town |
29.07% ( 0.41) | 23.57% ( 0.02) | 47.35% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 59.98% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.46% ( 0.16) | 41.54% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.06% ( 0.16) | 63.94% ( -0.16) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.94% ( 0.35) | 27.06% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.57% ( 0.46) | 62.43% ( -0.46) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.23% ( -0.11) | 17.77% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.53% ( -0.19) | 48.47% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Ipswich Town |
2-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 29.07% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 47.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 44 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 85 | 61 | 24 | 84 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 77 | 61 | 16 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 69 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 63 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 63 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 44 | 19 | 5 | 20 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 62 |
12 | Bristol City | 44 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 59 |
13 | Sunderland | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 56 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 62 | -5 | 56 |
15 | Watford | 44 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 53 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
17 | Millwall | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 50 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 49 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 48 |
21 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 39 | 68 | -29 | 47 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 44 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 44 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 44 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 24 |
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