MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 05:58:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Apr 2, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Hoffenheim logo

Werder Bremen
1 - 2
Hoffenheim

Pieper (76')
Schmid (28'), Schmidt (54'), Bittencourt (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kramaric (50'), Baumgartner (52')
Bebou (57'), Baumgartner (63'), Nsoki (82'), Geiger (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-2 Werder Bremen
Friday, March 17 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-2 Hoffenheim

Despite finally ending their miserable losing streak in their last match, we are not convinced that Hoffenheim have fully turned a corner just yet, and they may struggle to claim an away victory on Sunday. Werder undoubtedly have far less pressure on their shoulders, and we can envisage an open encounter as a result, with a potential share of the spoils as an outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawHoffenheim
40.11% (0.968 0.97) 24.86% (-0.115 -0.11) 35.03% (-0.847 -0.85)
Both teams to score 58.05% (0.287 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.8% (0.424 0.42)45.19% (-0.417 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.46% (0.404 0.4)67.54% (-0.396 -0.4)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.55% (0.67400000000001 0.67)22.45% (-0.667 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.01% (0.99299999999999 0.99)55.99% (-0.985 -0.98)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-0.279 -0.28)25.15% (0.287 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (-0.39 -0.39)59.86% (0.398 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 40.11%
    Hoffenheim 35.03%
    Draw 24.86%
Werder BremenDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.117 0.12)
1-0 @ 8.43% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.3% (0.135 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.142 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.14% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.083 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.069 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 40.11%
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6% (0.031 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.86%
1-2 @ 8.04% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-1 @ 7.79% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-3 @ 3.7% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 35.03%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim

Werder Bremen
59.4%
Draw
27.5%
Hoffenheim
13.0%
69
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2022 7.30pm
Feb 21, 2021 5pm
Hoffenheim
4-0
Werder Bremen
Bebou (26'), Baumgartner (44'), Dabour (49'), Rutter (90')
Rudy (16'), Kaderabek (51')

Toprak (8'), Friedl (69')
Oct 25, 2020 5pm
Jan 26, 2020 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
0-3
Hoffenheim

Klaassen (34'), Friedl (60')
Klaassen (65' og.), Baumgartner (79'), Adamyan (83')
Posch (22'), Kramaric (38')
Aug 24, 2019 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
3-2
Werder Bremen
Bicakcic (54'), Bebou (59'), Kaderabek (87')
Rudy (46'), Bittencourt (91')
Fullkrug (42'), Osako (81')
Klaassen (35'), Eggestein (69'), Moisander (92'), Harnik (94')
Eggestein (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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