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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Augsburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Augsburg.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
37.81% ( -0.54) | 25.08% ( -0.05) | 37.1% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 57.46% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.96% ( 0.26) | 46.03% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.66% ( 0.24) | 68.34% ( -0.25) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.99% ( -0.17) | 24% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.74% ( -0.24) | 58.25% ( 0.24) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.61% ( 0.44) | 24.38% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.2% ( 0.62) | 58.79% ( -0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 37.81% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.08% | 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.92% Total : 37.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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