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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 28, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Hertha Berlin logo

Werder Bremen
1 - 0
Hertha Berlin

Fullkrug (85')
Weiser (55'), Stark (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kanga (17'), Lukebakio (44'), Serdar (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-1 Schalke
Sunday, October 23 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-2 Hertha Berlin

We can envisage an entertaining encounter at the Weserstadion on Friday night, especially if Hertha continue with the 4-2-2-2 system which they deployed for their win against Schalke last weekend. That would mean both teams playing with two out-and-out strikers, with a score draw arguably the most likely outcome given Bremen's drop-off in form in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 55.83%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 22.47% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawHertha Berlin
55.83% (0.0030000000000001 0) 21.7%22.47% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 59.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.25% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)38.75% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.94% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)61.06% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)13.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)41.15% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4% (0.0049999999999955 0)30.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)66.83% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 55.83%
    Hertha Berlin 22.47%
    Draw 21.7%
Werder BremenDrawHertha Berlin
2-1 @ 9.81%
1-0 @ 8.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.46%
3-2 @ 3.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.7%
4-2 @ 1.9%
5-1 @ 1.27%
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 55.83%
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.7%
1-2 @ 5.87%
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.96%
1-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 22.47%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Hertha Berlin

Werder Bremen
56.4%
Draw
25.5%
Hertha Berlin
18.1%
149
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2021 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-4
Werder Bremen
Cordoba (45+2')
Mittelstadt (9'), Cordoba (26')
Selke (10' pen.), Toprak (29'), Bittencourt (57'), Sargent (77')
Selke (12'), Mbom (21'), Bittencourt (86')
Sep 19, 2020 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
1-4
Hertha Berlin
Selke (69')
Eggestein (46'), Selke (90+1'), F (90+1')
Pekarik (42'), Lukebakio (45+2'), Cunha (62'), Cordoba (90')
Mar 7, 2020 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
2-2
Werder Bremen
Stark (41'), Cunha (60')
Darida (59'), Klunter (62'), Stark (82')
Sargent (3'), Klaassen (6')
Sargent (71'), Vogt (76'), Klaassen (82')
Oct 19, 2019 2.30pm
Feb 16, 2019 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-1
Werder Bremen
Selke (25')
Rekik (27'), Lazaro (77'), Ibisevic (90')
Pizarro (90')
Langkamp (61'), Bargfrede (72'), Klaassen (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Stuttgart33224774393570
3Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Freiburg33119134456-1242
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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