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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Mainz 05 |
39.17% ( -0.14) | 24.55% ( -0.02) | 36.28% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 59.33% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.39% ( 0.1) | 43.61% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34% ( 0.1) | 66% ( -0.1) |
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.78% ( -0.03) | 22.22% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.36% ( -0.04) | 55.64% ( 0.04) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.28% ( 0.13) | 23.72% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.15% ( 0.19) | 57.85% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 39.17% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 36.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 67 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
11 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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