There is little doubt that Hertha will be more desperate to claim all three points on Friday night, with Koln having much less to play for between now and the end of the campaign.
However, the hosts head into this encounter in decent form of late and will not want their opponents to outfight them, meaning that we can envisage a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 68.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 13.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
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