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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 0-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
Hertha Berlin | Draw | RB Leipzig |
18.89% ( -0.03) | 20.73% ( -0.02) | 60.37% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 57.4% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.72% ( 0.03) | 39.27% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.39% ( 0.03) | 61.61% ( -0.04) |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.7% ( -0.02) | 34.3% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29% ( -0.02) | 71% ( 0.02) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.37% ( 0.03) | 12.63% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.24% ( 0.05) | 38.76% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Hertha Berlin | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 18.89% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.73% | 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-2 @ 9.27% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.84% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.66% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.89% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.47% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 60.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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