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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.35%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 20.2% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.45%) and 1-3 (7.24%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (5.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
Hertha Berlin | Draw | RB Leipzig |
20.2% | 19.45% | 60.35% |
Both teams to score 64.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.07% | 30.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.69% | 52.31% |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.91% | 28.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.25% | 63.75% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.9% | 10.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.75% | 33.24% |
Score Analysis |
Hertha Berlin | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 5.24% 1-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.55% 2-0 @ 2.29% 3-1 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.34% Total : 20.2% | 1-1 @ 8.26% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 2.83% 3-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 0.4% Total : 19.45% | 1-2 @ 9.47% 0-2 @ 7.45% 1-3 @ 7.24% 0-1 @ 6.5% 0-3 @ 5.7% 2-3 @ 4.6% 1-4 @ 4.15% 0-4 @ 3.27% 2-4 @ 2.64% 1-5 @ 1.9% 0-5 @ 1.5% 2-5 @ 1.21% 3-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.62% Total : 60.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 77 | 29 | 48 | 58 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 27 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 56 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 51 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 48 |
5 | Freiburg | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 47 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 43 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 41 |
8 | Mainz 05Mainz | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 39 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 32 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 32 |
12 | FC Koln | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 31 |
13 | Augsburg | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 29 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 28 | 57 | -29 | 26 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 25 |
16 | Hertha Berlin | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 22 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 21 |
18 | Stuttgart | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 20 |
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