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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
VfL Bochum

Freiburg
1 - 0
VfL Bochum

Grifo (48')
Sallai (77'), Hofler (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Stafylidis (42'), Riemann (48'), Reis (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Freiburg 2-0 VfL Bochum

While Bochum will be hungry to bite back after their thumping at the hands of Bayern last week, we expect Freiburg to be too strong for their opponents. Streich have the momentum and quality to challenge for the European places once again this season, whereas it would be a surprise if Bochum are not embroiled in a relegation battle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawVfL Bochum
48.94% (0.18 0.18) 22.83% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 28.22% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 62% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.39% (0.121 0.12)38.6% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.09% (0.127 0.13)60.9% (-0.13 -0.13)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.94% (0.10900000000001 0.11)16.06% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.57% (0.202 0.2)45.42% (-0.204 -0.2)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)26.14% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)61.21% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 48.94%
    VfL Bochum 28.22%
    Draw 22.83%
FreiburgDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.02% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.74% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.28% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.85% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 48.94%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.2% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.83%
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.63% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.78% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 28.22%

How you voted: Freiburg vs VfL Bochum

Freiburg
84.1%
Draw
9.5%
VfL Bochum
6.3%
126
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
3-0
VfL Bochum
Kubler (5'), Sallai (16', 53')

Stafylidis (68'), Reis (70')
Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm
VfL Bochum
1-2
Freiburg
Polter (64')
Polter (117')
Petersen (51'), Sallai (120')
Kubler (117')
Nov 27, 2021 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Stuttgart33224774393570
3Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Freiburg33119134456-1242
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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