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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 14.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
67.7% ( 0.14) | 17.46% ( -0.04) | 14.84% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 60.55% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.88% ( -0.04) | 31.12% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.47% ( -0.05) | 52.53% ( 0.04) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.53% ( 0.02) | 8.46% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.63% ( 0.05) | 29.36% ( -0.05) |
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.15% ( -0.16) | 33.84% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.49% ( -0.17) | 70.51% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) 6-1 @ 0.98% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 67.7% | 1-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 17.46% | 1-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 14.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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