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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Dortmund logo

Bayern
0 - 2
Dortmund

FT(HT: 0-1)
Adeyemi (10'), Ryerson (83')

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Karim Adeyemi and Julian Ryerson secure a 2-0 victory for Borussia Dortmund in Der Klassiker, leaving Bayern Munich's title ambitions in severe jeopardy.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Darmstadt 2-5 Bayern
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 14.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 3-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBorussia Dortmund
69.07% (0.0010000000000048 0) 16.59%14.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 62.79% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.18% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)27.81% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)48.51% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.65% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)7.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.48% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)26.52% (0.004999999999999 0)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.24% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.27% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)68.73% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 69.07%
    Borussia Dortmund 14.34%
    Draw 16.59%
Bayern MunichDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 7.95%
3-0 @ 7.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 5.19%
4-0 @ 4.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.71%
5-0 @ 2.4%
5-2 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 69.07%
1-1 @ 7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 2.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 16.59%
1-2 @ 3.96%
0-1 @ 2.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-2 @ 1.52%
1-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 14.34%

How you voted: Bayern vs Dortmund

Bayern Munich
81.7%
Draw
13.0%
Borussia Dortmund
5.2%
115
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Dortmund
0-4
Bayern

Hummels (61'), Ryerson (74'), Sabitzer (76')
Upamecano (4'), Kane (9', 72', 90+3')
Sane (22'), Tuchel (42'), Laimer (85')
Apr 1, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Bayern
4-2
Dortmund
Kobel (13' og.), Muller (18', 23'), Coman (50')
Can (72' pen.), Malen (90')
Oct 8, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Dortmund
2-2
Bayern
Moukoko (74'), Modeste (90+5')
Goretzka (33'), Sane (53')
Apr 23, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Bayern
3-1
Dortmund
Gnabry (15'), Lewandowski (34'), Musiala (83')
Nagelsmann (87')
Can (52' pen.)
Can (40'), Rose (41')
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Dortmund
2-3
Bayern
Brandt (5'), Braut Haaland (48')
Can (51'), Rose (55'), Rose (78'), Bellingham (86')
Lewandowski (9', 77'), Coman (44')
Lewandowski (88'), Upamecano (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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