Augsburg appeared wide open defensively during their draw against Gladbach, with the likes of Kane, Sane and Kingsley Coman likely to be licking their lips at the prospect of coming up against them this weekend.
Although the loss of Musiala through injury could have a minor impact on the hosts' offensive fluidity, we still expect them to ease to a heavy victory in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.15%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 11.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 3-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
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