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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 13, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Schalke

Bayern
6 - 0
Schalke

Muller (21'), Kimmich (29' pen.), Gnabry (50', 65'), Tel (80'), Mazraoui (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Krauss (20'), Brunner (28'), Bulter (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 6 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Schalke 04

All competitions
Last Game: Mainz 2-3 Schalke
Friday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Schalke 04

 Although Schalke have made vast improvements in recent weeks, we expect Bayern Munich to flex their muscles and take another step towards sealing an 11th Bundesliga title in as many years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 78.17%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 8.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.13%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawSchalke 04
78.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 13.43% (0.00099999999999945 0) 8.4% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.33% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.59% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)29.4% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.53% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)50.47% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.99% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)6.01% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.09% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)22.91% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.74% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)43.25% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.49% (-0.067 -0.07)79.51% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 78.16%
    Schalke 04 8.4%
    Draw 13.43%
Bayern MunichDrawSchalke 04
2-0 @ 10.27% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.63% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 8.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.31% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 6.77% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 5.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 3.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 3.19% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.78%
6-1 @ 1.5% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-2 @ 1.34% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 78.16%
1-1 @ 6.13% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.6% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 13.43%
1-2 @ 2.57% (-0.004 -0)
0-1 @ 2.18% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 8.4%

How you voted: Bayern vs Schalke

Bayern Munich
70.4%
Draw
7.4%
Schalke 04
22.2%
27
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 15
Schalke
0-2
Bayern
Gnabry (38'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (52')
Jan 24, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 18
Schalke
0-4
Bayern

Nastasic (80')
Muller (33', 88'), Lewandowski (54'), Alaba (90')
Boateng (84')
Sep 18, 2020 7.30pm
gameweek 1
Bayern
8-0
Schalke
Gnabry (4', 47', 59'), Goretzka (19'), Lewandowski (31' pen.), Muller (70'), Sane (71'), Musiala (81')
Kimmich (65')

Kabak (30'), Stambouli (81')
Mar 3, 2020 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Schalke
0-1
Bayern

Burgstaller (66'), Nastasic (66'), McKennie (86'), Raman (90')
Kimmich (40')
Jan 25, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 19
Bayern
5-0
Schalke
Lewandowski (6'), Muller (45'), Goretzka (50'), Alcantara (58'), Gnabry (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217
> Bundesliga Full Table


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