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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
31.37% ( 0.99) | 27.91% ( -0.05) | 40.72% ( -0.94) |
Both teams to score 47.29% ( 0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.48% ( 0.47) | 58.53% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.9% ( 0.37) | 79.1% ( -0.36) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.87% ( 0.98) | 34.13% ( -0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.18% ( 1.04) | 70.82% ( -1.04) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.8% ( -0.29) | 28.2% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.1% ( -0.38) | 63.9% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.31% Total : 31.37% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.77% Total : 40.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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