MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 16:21:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Freiburg logo

B. Leverkusen
2 - 3
Freiburg

Demirbay (16'), Schick (65')
Tah (5'), Amiri (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ginter (48'), Gregoritsch (51'), Doan (72')
Hofler (34'), Gregoritsch (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 Freiburg

We expect to see goals at both ends in Leverkusen on Saturday, with a draw the most likely outcome. The hosts should have gained confidence from finally ending their losing run last weekend, while Freiburg may be content with adding another point to the board having made an excellent start to the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
56.81% (3.416 3.42) 22.53% (-0.919 -0.92) 20.66% (-2.499 -2.5)
Both teams to score 54.27% (-0.453 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.16% (1.064 1.06)44.84% (-1.067 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.8% (1.017 1.02)67.2% (-1.02 -1.02)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.43% (1.57 1.57)15.57% (-1.573 -1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.48% (2.845 2.85)44.52% (-2.848 -2.85)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28% (-1.766 -1.77)35.72% (1.763 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51% (-1.861 -1.86)72.49% (1.858 1.86)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 56.8%
    Freiburg 20.66%
    Draw 22.52%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 10.34% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 9.62% (0.566 0.57)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.391 0.39)
3-0 @ 5.96% (0.641 0.64)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.055 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.32 0.32)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.426 0.43)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.101 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.168 0.17)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.204 0.2)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 56.8%
1-1 @ 10.64% (-0.44 -0.44)
0-0 @ 5.56% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.52%
0-1 @ 5.72% (-0.562 -0.56)
1-2 @ 5.48% (-0.507 -0.51)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.448 -0.45)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.275 -0.28)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.211 -0.21)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 20.66%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Freiburg

Bayer Leverkusen
55.4%
Draw
17.9%
Freiburg
26.8%
56
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Dec 19, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
B. Leverkusen
Grifo (33' pen.), Schade (84')
Schlotterbeck (30'), Holer (86')
Aranguiz (45+1')
Frimpong (32'), Andrich (39'), Odilon (82')
Feb 28, 2021 5pm
B. Leverkusen
1-2
Freiburg
Bailey (70')
Aranguiz (68'), Bailey (71')
Demirovic (50'), Holer (61')
Demirovic (21'), Hofler (73'), Sallai (77')
Nov 1, 2020 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-4
B. Leverkusen
Holer (3'), Petersen (72')
Kubler (45+1'), Heintz (50')
Alario (29', 42'), Amiri (64'), Tah (76')
Bender (24'), Diaby (60')
May 29, 2020 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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