Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.94%) and 2-0 (5.11%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.