Aston Villa3 - 1Brighton
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, May 4 at 3pm in Women's Super League
for
Monday, May 5 at 4pm in Women's Super League
for
We said: Aston Villa Women 3-2 Brighton & Hove Albion Women
Aston Villa and Brighton have both been involved in exciting matches in recent weeks, and we think that there will be plenty more goals to enjoy in Saturday's fixture. We also believe that home advantage could give the Villans a slight edge, especially as they have already recorded a head-to-head home win in 2025, which is why we are predicting a Villa win for the day of the season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.94%) and 2-0 (5.11%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Women |
47.95% ( -0.55) | 20.98% ( 0.16) | 31.06% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 71.07% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
