Women's Super League | Gameweek 22
May 10, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Villa Park

Aston Villa
3 - 1
Brighton

Salmon (5'), Daly (44'), Pacheco (74')
Daly (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Parris (90+4')
Agyemang (42'), Stefanovic (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Brighton & Hove Albion Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Last Game: West Ham 2-3 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 4 at 3pm in Women's Super League

Brighton & Hove Albion Women

All competitions
Last Game: Brighton 4-2 Arsenal
Monday, May 5 at 4pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.94%) and 2-0 (5.11%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
47.95% (-0.546 -0.55)20.98% (0.158 0.16)31.06% (0.383 0.38)
Both teams to score 71.07% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.4% (-0.58799999999999 -0.59)27.59% (0.583 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.76% (-0.738 -0.74)48.23% (0.732 0.73)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.65% (-0.376 -0.38)12.34% (0.371 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.84% (-0.79199999999999 -0.79)38.15% (0.786 0.79)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.07% (-0.098000000000013 -0.1)18.92% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.57% (-0.157 -0.16)50.43% (0.153 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 47.95%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 31.06%
    Draw 20.98%
Aston Villa WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.11% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.94% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
1-0 @ 4.89% (0.102 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.11% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.58% (-0.075 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.43% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-2 @ 1.08% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 47.95%
1-1 @ 8.13% (0.146 0.15)
2-2 @ 7.08% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 2.74% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-0 @ 2.34% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 20.98%
1-2 @ 6.77% (0.102 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.89% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.24% (0.095 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.047 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.014 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.14% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 31.06%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Brighton
4-2
Aston Villa
Parris (15'), Bremer (38'), Kirby (79' pen.), Agyemang (90+7')
Pattinson (77'), Agyemang (90+1')
Pattinson (90+4')
Daly (13', 55')
Robinson (90+1'), D’Angelo (90+1')
Tomas Serer (76')
> Preview
May 4, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 21
Brighton
0-1
Aston Villa

Thorisdottir (18')
Lehmann (64')
Hanson (45+2'), Maritz (60')
> Preview
Dec 17, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 10
Aston Villa
1-0
Brighton Women
Leon (63')
Pacheco (80'), Leon (87')
Pacheco (89')

Losada (36'), Symonds (40')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 1
Brighton Women
2-6
Aston Villa
Zigiotti-Olme (3'), Carter (49' pen.)
Staniforth (15'), Hanson (17'), Nobbs (23', 43', 69'), Daly (36')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 13
Aston Villa
1-1
Brighton Women
Green (33' og.)
Zigiotti-Olme (74')
> Preview