Women's Super League Gameweek 22
May 10, 2025 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Villa Park
  • Ebony Salmon 5' goal
  • Rachel Daly 44' goal
  • Rachel Daly 47' yellowcard
  • Mayumi Pacheco 74' goal
  • yellowcard Michelle Agyemang 42'
  • yellowcard Dejana Stefanovic 90'+2'
  • goal Nikita Parris 90'+4'

Aston Villa Women vs Brighton & Hove Albion Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
May 4, 2025 3.00pm
West Ham 2 - 3 Aston Villa
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Rachel Daly

Brighton & Hove Albion Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
May 5, 2025 4.00pm
Brighton 4 - 2 Arsenal
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Nikita Parris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.94%) and 2-0 (5.11%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.

Result

Aston Villa Women 47.95% (-0.55)
Draw 20.98% (+0.16)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women 31.06% (+0.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

71.07% (-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5 72.4% (-0.59)
Under 2.5 27.59% (+0.59)
Over 3.5 51.76% (-0.74)
Under 3.5 48.23% (+0.74)
Over 4.5 32.38% (-0.70)
Under 4.5 67.61% (+0.69)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5 87.65% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 12.34% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 61.84% (-0.80)
Under 1.5 38.15% (+0.79)

Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals

Over 0.5 81.07% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 18.92% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 49.57% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 50.43% (+0.16)

Score analysis

Aston Villa Women 47.95%
Draw 20.98%
Brighton & Hove Albion Women 31.06%
Aston Villa Women
2-1 @ 8.51% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 5.11% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 4.94% (-0.07)
1-0 @ 4.89% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.11% (-0.09)
4-2 @ 2.58% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.05)
4-3 @ 1.43% (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.06)
5-2 @ 1.08% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 47.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.13% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 7.08% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.74% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 2.34% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 20.98%
Brighton & Hove Albion Women
1-2 @ 6.77% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 3.93% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.89% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 3.76% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.24% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.8% (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.56% (+0.02)
3-4 @ 1.14% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 31.06%

Head to Head

Women's Super League Gameweek 3
Oct 5, 2024 12.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Broadfield Stadium
  • Nikita Parris 15' goal
  • Pauline Bremer 38' goal
  • Poppy Pattinson 77' yellowcard
  • Fran Kirby 79' goal
  • Michelle Agyemang 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Poppy Pattinson 90'+4' redcard
  • Michelle Agyemang 90'+7' goal
  • goal Rachel Daly 13'
  • goal Rachel Daly 55'
  • redcard Paula Tomas Serer 76'
  • yellowcard Katie Robinson 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Sabrina D’Angelo 90'+1'
Women's Super League Gameweek 21
May 4, 2024 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The American Express Community Stadium
  • Maria Thorisdottir 18' yellowcard
  • goal 45'
  • yellowcard Kirsty Hanson 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Noelle Maritz 60'
  • goal Alisha Lehmann 64'
Women's Super League Gameweek 10
Dec 17, 2023 6.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Poundland Bescot Stadium
  • 32' goal
  • Adriana Leon 63' goal
  • Mayumi Pacheco 80' yellowcard
  • Adriana Leon 87' yellowcard
  • Mayumi Pacheco 89' redcard
  • yellowcard Vicky Losada 36'
  • yellowcard Maisie Symonds 40'
Women's Super League Gameweek 1
Feb 12, 2023 2.00pm
2
6
HT : 1 5
FT
  • Julia Zigiotti-Olme 3' goal
  • Danielle Carter 49' goal
  • goal Lucy Staniforth 15'
  • goal Kirsty Hanson 17'
  • goal Jordan Nobbs 23'
  • goal Rachel Daly 36'
  • goal Jordan Nobbs 43'
  • goal Jordan Nobbs 69'
Women's Super League Gameweek 13
Feb 4, 2023 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kayleigh Green 33' goal
  • goal Julia Zigiotti-Olme 74'
Women's Super League Gameweek 16
Mar 5, 2022 11.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Maya Le Tissier 28'
  • yellowcard Danielle Carter 90'+3'