Women's Super League | Gameweek 21
May 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
London Stadium

West Ham
2 - 3
Aston Villa

Martinez (18'), Ueki (34')
Martinez (44'), Gorry (50'), Zadorsky (59')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Salmon (5'), Daly (37'), Grant (54')
Taylor (37'), Parker (39'), Grant (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between West Ham United Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-7 West Ham
Sunday, April 27 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 5-2 Arsenal
Wednesday, April 30 at 6pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for West Ham United Women had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest West Ham United Women win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.

Result
West Ham United WomenDrawAston Villa Women
30.51% (0.551 0.55)23.31% (0.253 0.25)46.17% (-0.806 -0.81)
Both teams to score 61.85% (-0.578 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.52% (-0.90499999999999 -0.9)39.47% (0.903 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.18% (-0.95 -0.95)61.82% (0.948 0.95)
West Ham United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)25.09% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.21% (-0.142 -0.14)59.78% (0.14 0.14)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.57% (-0.658 -0.66)17.42% (0.656 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.12% (-1.159 -1.16)47.87% (1.158 1.16)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United Women 30.51%
    Aston Villa Women 46.17%
    Draw 23.31%
West Ham United WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-1 @ 7.3% (0.107 0.11)
1-0 @ 6.05% (0.234 0.23)
2-0 @ 4.18% (0.15 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.37% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 30.51%
1-1 @ 10.56% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.37% (0.182 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.31%
1-2 @ 9.23% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.64% (0.156 0.16)
0-2 @ 6.67% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.37% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.89% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.72% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.35% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.7% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.62% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 46.17%

Head to Head
Dec 15, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 10
Aston Villa
3-1
West Ham
Leon (4', 43'), Dali (83')
Maritz (20'), Nobbs (54')
Asseyi (21')
Li (77')
Apr 28, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 20
Aston Villa
1-1
West Ham
Lehmann (72')
Patten (64'), Dali (90+4'), Turner (90+6')
Cooke (90+5')
Smith (27')
Nov 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
West Ham
2-3
Aston Villa
Asseyi (27' pen.), Evans (80')
Stringer (39'), Filis (49'), Cooke (85')
Patten (31'), Leon (50'), Daly (90+2')
Mayling (21'), Daly (85'), Nobbs (90+6')
Mar 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
West Ham
1-2
Aston Villa
Asseyi (79')
Daly (34'), Nobbs (62')
Oct 15, 2022 12.30pm
rhs 2.0


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