Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 66.64%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 16.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 1-3 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%) , while for a Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.