Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (7.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.