Women's FA Cup
May 10, 2026 3.30pm
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea Women vs Manchester City Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions

Manchester City Women

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Manchester City Women has a probability of 28.22% and a draw has a probability of 21.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win is 1-2 (7.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.53%).

Result

Chelsea Women 50.69% (-0.11)
Draw 21.09% (+0.06)
Manchester City Women 28.22% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.81% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.08%
Under 1.5 17.92%
Over 2.5 61.89% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 38.11% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 35.46% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 64.54% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 22.77% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 77.23% (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Chelsea Women 39.28% (-0.08)
Draw 31.86% (+0.06)
Manchester City Women 28.86% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Chelsea Women 52.22% (-0.06)
No Goal 4.32% (+0.05)
Manchester City Women 43.46% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 58.4% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11%
Under 8 30.6% (+0.03)
Over 9 47.14% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.26% (-0.01)
Under 9 41.6% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 36.52%
Under 10.5 63.48%

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 1.5 51% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 49% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 26.86% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 73.14% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 11.33% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 88.67% (+0.08)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5 63.57% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 36.43% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 34.08% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 65.92% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 13.43%
Under 2.5 86.57%
Over 3.5 4.9% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.1% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Chelsea Women 50.69%
Draw 21.09%
Manchester City Women 28.22%
Chelsea Women
2-1 @ 10.13% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 6.72%
3-0 @ 5.58% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.05)
Other @ 11.08% (-0.09)
Total : 50.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.53% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.32% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.09%
Manchester City Women
1-2 @ 7.73% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 4.87% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.94% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.99% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.65% (-0.02)
Total : 28.22%

Head to Head

Women's Super League Gameweek 14
Feb 1, 2026 2.30pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Kerolin Nicoli Israel Ferraz 13' goal
  • Khadija Monifa Shaw 36' goal
  • Kerolin Nicoli Israel Ferraz 49' goal
  • Kerolin Nicoli Israel Ferraz 54' goal
  • Aoba Fujino 63' yellowcard
  • Samantha Coffey 64' yellowcard
  • Vivianne Miedema 72' goal
  • Grace Clinton 76' yellowcard
  • Mary Fowler 76' yellowcard
  • Laura Coombs 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Leila Ouahabi El Ouahabi 90'+10' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samantha Kerr 50'
  • yellowcard Sjoeke Nüsken 50'
  • yellowcard Anna Johanna Rytting Kaneryd 64'
  • goal Alyssa Thompson 68'
  • yellowcard Agnes Beever-Jones 73'
Women's Super League
Sep 5, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Women's Champions League
Mar 27, 2025 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Sandy Baltimore 14' goal
  • Nathalie Bjorn 38' goal
  • Mayra Ramirez 43' goal
  • Sandy Baltimore 55' yellowcard
  • Keira Walsh 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Laia Aleixandri 46'
Women's Super League Gameweek 17
Mar 23, 2025 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Kerolin 32' goal
  • yellowcard Oriane Jean-Francois 33'
  • yellowcard Millie Bright 41'
  • goal Aggie Beever-Jones 49'
  • goal Erin Cuthbert 90'+1'
Women's Champions League
Mar 19, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Moi Stadium
  • Vivianne Miedema 60' goal
  • Kerolin 77' yellowcard
  • Vivianne Miedema 88' goal
Women's Super League Gameweek 8
Nov 16, 2024 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Nathalie Bjorn 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Mayra Ramirez 75' goal
  • Guro Reiten 79' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Greenwood 47'