Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 73.6%. A draw had a probability of 15.26% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 11.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.6%) , while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-2 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.